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Since Sunday night, discu sion about Super Bowl odds has been all the rage in the sports betting universe. And the volume will only ramp up more between now and the Feb. 12 kickoff, set for approximately 6:30 p.m. ET on .But for oddsmakers, that discu sion began well before Sunday night.Tom Gable, director of race and sports at the Borgata Hotel Casino in Atlantic City, N.J., lifted the curtain on oddsmaking for the big matchup between the and .Four on the FloorThe proce s actually began once the wrapped up their 19-12 rock-fight win over the on Jan. 22, the final game of the divisional round. Prior to that, the Chiefs beat the 27-20; the Eagles drummed the 38-7; and the upset the 27-10.Obviously, the next step was setting Josh Jacobs Jersey odds for the 49ers vs. Eagles NFC Championship Game and the Bengals vs. Chiefs AFC Championship Game. But very shortly thereafter, Super Bowl odds entered the chat between Gable and his team in the Las Vegas Raiders Jersey risk room. The Borgata sportsbook is part of BetMGM, but its risk room operates autonomously, setting and moving its own odds."Pretty much when the conference championship games are set, you have spreads already made for all of the potential matchups for the Super Bowl," Gable said. "Everyone has their own power ratings, and by that point, there isnt much difference in who is rated where maybe a half point here or there. Youre pretty much looking at health, key injuries and anything else that could potentially adjust someones ratings."But everyones ratings are very solid by the time the NFC and AFC Championship Games occur."RELATED: The Mahomes FactorOf course, the biggest storyline to evolve from the divisional round was high ankle sprain. It was a big reason why, early last week, the Bengals were favored on the road against the Chiefs. So it also was part of the early conversation pre-AFC Championship Game on Super Bowl odds for a potential Chiefs-Eagles or Chiefs-49ers matchup.Gable and his fellow oddsmakers then got a much better feel for things while watching Mahomes play in K.C.s 23-20 victory the Bengals.Said Gable: "As long as there werent any significant injuries in the NFC game which there werent for the Eagles, but extra attention was paid to , who is coming off an injury you basically already have a number for the two potential matchups."Those matchups being either Eagles-Chiefs or Eagles- Johnathan Abram Jersey Bengals."We knew Mahomes was compromised with the high ankle sprain going into the AFC Championship Game," Gable said. "So you had to pay attention to how he looked, how he moved, etc., as Mahomes was certainly going to be key to the number if the Chiefs advanced to the Super Bowl."Kansas City indeed advanced, but oddsmakers opinions were definitely split on what the Super Bowl 57 opening line should be. And not just because of Mahomes, but because K.C.s receiving corps got banged up against Cincy, as did a couple of key defenders.Some sportsbooks actually opened the Chiefs as much as 2.5-point favorites, but most bookmakers opened at either pick or Eagles -1/-1.5."Once the matchup was set, we knew there were some injuries that the Chiefs suffered, unfortunately," Gable said. "And while Mahomes didnt seem to do any further damage, it was clear he wasnt at 100% Derek Carr Jersey . Still, from a pure power rating, I would have made the Chiefs a 1-point favorite. But you saw those that opened first, with the Chiefs as a favorite or even at pick em, moved to the Eagles as a favorite fairly quickly."Plus, Philadelphia is e sentially in the backyard of Atlantic City, and we always get Eagles money. So opening the Eagles as a favorite was the right choice for us."Bettors Flock to PhillyThe Borgata opened at Eagles -1.5, but as Gable and his oddsmaking peers at sportsbooks acro s the country quickly learned Sunday night, that still wasnt enough."Early money was almost all Eagles," Gable said. "We did reach Eagles -2.5 early, and that was the high-water mark. Then there was some buyback on the Chiefs."With that buyback has come some movement. Late Wednesday night, with still a week Kenyan Drake Jersey and a half to go, Philadelphia was down to -1.5. Thats right where Gable and his team started, but dont be surprised if its not where this line finishes. Theres a long way to go until kickoff.Patrick Everson is a sports betting analyst for FOX Sports and senior reporter for VegasInsider.com. He is a distinguished journalist in the national sports betting space. Hes based in Las Vegas, where he enjoys golfing in 110-degree heat. Follow him on Twitter: @PatrickE_VegasTop stories from FOX Sports:for your chance to win thousands of dollars on the biggest sporting events each and every week! Just make your picks and you could win the grand prize.! NFL trending in this topic |
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发表于 2024-3-3 10:25:54